What if PA Arabs invaded Greater Tel Aviv when Turkey and Egypt attacked Israel from outside? – analysis

There are an estimated 150,000 illegal weapons owned by Judea and Samaria Arabs, suggesting a potential for massive internal disruption that could stretch IDF resources thin.

By Hezy Laing

A growing number of security analysts and former military officials are issuing stark warnings that Israel faces an unprecedented strategic threat involving a simultaneous multi-front war combining external state actors and internal insurgencies.

Retired IDF Major General Yitzhak Brik stated in April 2026 that the political leadership fails to recognize the danger of a strategic alliance between Turkey and Egypt, noting that the Egyptian army now stands shoulder to shoulder with the Turkish military against Israel.

This concern was echoed in July 2026 when analyst Amine Ayoub described joint military exercises codenamed Golden Eagle as a strategic nightmare, highlighting that elite paratroopers and commando units from both nations are practicing synchronized operations on Egyptian soil.

The convergence of these forces involves American-made F-16 fleets and advanced drone technology, including the locally produced Turkha drone, creating a formidable conventional threat on Israel’s southern and northern peripheries.

Compounding this external danger is the internal threat posed by the Palestinian Authority (PA).

A May 2026 study by the Regavim movement revealed that PA security forces have evolved into a trained army comprising approximately 65,000 individuals, with between 45,000 and 60,000 armed operatives.

Moriah Michaeli, the study’s lead researcher, noted that PA units such as Unit 101 specialize in urban warfare, tactical skydiving, and naval commando operations and are trained in Pakistan, Italy, and Algeria.

The report emphasizes that these forces explicitly train to invade coastal cities including Tel Aviv, Jaffa, Haifa, and Acre, with diving exercises in landlocked Jenin indicating intentions to reach the Mediterranean coast.

Former spy Jonathan Pollard, a former security analyst, warned in May 2026 that Israel must prepare for wars against Turkey and Egypt, stating that the storm is coming and that Israel may not have an easy time against Turkish forces.

In a nightmare scenario in which PA forces attempt to invade Greater Tel Aviv while Turkey and Egypt launch coordinated attacks, Israel would rely on its doctrine of fighting a deep battle using air power, cyber capabilities, and rapid mobilization.

The IDF strategy typically involves disrupting enemy leadership and infrastructure rather than holding large territories, allowing forces to surge between fronts.

However, experts like Ragheb argue that Israeli military doctrine does not traditionally allow for fighting multiple major powers simultaneously, and US support might be uncertain in such a conflict.

The IDF would likely prioritize neutralizing immediate internal threats in the center while using its air force to degrade Egyptian and Turkish command structures.

If all this were not enough, there are an estimated 150,000 illegal weapons owned by Judea and Samaria Arabs, suggesting the potential for massive internal disruption that could stretch IDF resources thin.

Managing such a conflict would require immediate activation of reserve divisions, reliance on the Arrow missile defense system for ballistic threats, and potentially preemptive strikes to break the coordination between the external alliance and internal insurgents before they can fully synchronize their operations.