Iran boasts it can strike daily for two years, but experts disagree

Despite threats of daily missile strikes, intelligence shows Iran lost much of its arsenal after Israeli and American attacks.

By David Brummer, World Israel News

Iran says it can launch missiles at the United States and Israel every day for two years.

But experts speaking to Fox News say Tehran no longer has that power.

The warning came from top Iranian military officials, who claimed their underground missile bases and weapons stockpiles remain full.

“We have yet to demonstrate the majority of our defense capabilities,” said Maj. Gen. Ebrahim Jabbari of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.

In the same report, Maj. Gen. Yahya Rahim Safavi, a senior adviser to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, added that Iranian forces such as the Quds Force have not yet entered battle.

But according to military analysts and Western intelligence, Iran suffered major losses during the recent “12-Day War.”

Israeli strikes hit key missile production sites and storage facilities. The U.S. also joined with attacks on Iran’s nuclear infrastructure.

Iran started the war with up to 600 missile launchers and about 3,000 missiles.

It now has between 150 and 200 launchers and as few as 1,000 missiles, based on open-source intelligence.

“The regime has increasingly been forced to choose between using or losing these projectiles,” said Behnam Ben Taleblu, an Iran expert at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies.

Danny Citrinowicz, a former Israeli intelligence officer and Iran analyst, said the damage to production lines will make it hard for Iran to rebuild.

“Israel attacked every place that the Iranians manufacture missiles,” he told Fox News Digital.

Even if Iran can still launch missiles, Citrinowicz said, it could do so only in small numbers.

As for Iran’s ability to strike U.S. soil, analysts consider it unlikely.

Citrinowicz noted Iran might try to use its military presence in Venezuela but called that scenario “a long shot.”

More likely, any Iranian attack would target U.S. forces in the Middle East.

Iran’s setbacks were not limited to its missile program.

Can Kasapoglu, a Middle East military expert at the Hudson Institute, said Israel also targeted Iran’s nuclear infrastructure.

While it’s unclear how many centrifuges were destroyed, Kasapoglu said Iran’s nuclear program has suffered “a setback for years.”

He added that Israel prioritized Iran’s most advanced missiles — solid-fuel, medium-range ballistic weapons that can reach speeds of Mach 10 and perform evasive maneuvers.

Despite these efforts, Iran remains the largest missile power in the region.

“We saw that during the war,” Kasapoglu said. “Even with interceptors from the U.S. and Israel, some missiles still got through.”

He also warned about Iran’s proxy forces, particularly the Houthis in Yemen.

With Chinese satellite assistance, the Houthis have resumed attacks on ships in the Red Sea.

One recent strike hit a Liberian-flagged Greek vessel.

“That’s the proxy I’m most concerned about,” Kasapoglu said.

Iran still poses threats across the region, especially at sea and through its network of militant allies.

But experts agree the country’s ability to launch sustained missile attacks is no longer what it once was.

While the war ended with a U.S.-brokered ceasefire, tensions remain high.

As Iran continues to issue bold threats, analysts say its arsenal — and its options — have been severely diminished.

U.S. President Donald Trump has not publicly commented on the claims, though the Pentagon continues to monitor Iran’s movements.

IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Col. Eyal Zamir said Israeli forces remain on alert.