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IDF warns future Iran war could hit Israeli home front harder if missile issue excluded from ceasefire

Israeli officials are concerned that the emerging framework backed by US President Donald Trump may not adequately address the missile issue.

By Vered Weiss, World Israel News

As negotiations continue on a proposed agreement aimed at ending the conflict with Iran, the IDF is expressing concern that future wars with the Islamic State could inflict heavier damage on Israel’s civilian front, particularly if Iran’s ballistic missile capabilities remain outside the scope of any final arrangement, the Jerusalem Post reported.

According to Israeli military assessments, Iran has used and continues developing large, high-speed ballistic missiles.

Israeli officials are concerned that the emerging framework backed by US President Donald Trump is expected to largely or entirely leave the ballistic missile issue unaddressed.

The IDF Home Front Command said it initially prepared for a war lasting between 30 and 60 days.

However, military officials said Israel did not determine when the conflict would begin, escalate, pause, or formally conclude, attributing those decisions to the United States.

According to the report, Trump at one stage imposed a four-week limit on the fighting before later extending it to six weeks.

The report said the extensions occurred without resolving what Israeli officials described as ongoing immediate risks of renewed hostilities following the April 7 ceasefire.

Despite the concerns surrounding the evolving negotiations, the Home Front Command said damage sustained by Israel during the 2026 war was lower than the damage caused during the 12-day war with Iran in June 2025.

Military officials attributed part of the reduced damage to deeper US involvement in the fighting. Simultaneous strikes by Israel and the United States against Iranian targets reduced Tehran’s ability to launch missiles, according to the report.

The report also said that when Iran did launch missiles, more than 60% — and according to some assessments, significantly more — were directed at countries other than Israel.

Israeli officials continue to monitor developments surrounding the proposed agreement as negotiations move forward, with concerns remaining over the exclusion of Iran’s missile capabilities from the talks.

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Miriam Metzinger
Tags: Ceasefire Iran war Iranian missile

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